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The same medicine. Two very different years.

A weekly GLP-1 starts. From there the year splits: unsupervised escalation, or physician-led titration, monitoring, nutrition, and a plan for stopping. Fifteen minutes through both.

On-treatment weight loss · trial averages
  • Semaglutide · STEP-1 trial~15% by week 68 (~16 months)
  • Tirzepatide · SURMOUNT-1 trial~20% by week 72 (~17 months)

15-minute walkthrough

Patient starts GLP-1 treatment

  1. 12 minThe fork
  2. 24 minUnsupervised — where the year usually breaks
  3. 34 minPhysician-led — what changes at each beat
  4. 43 minIndia eligibility & labs
  5. 52 minThe year, restated
Path AUnsupervised
Path BPhysician-led · titration, labs, adherence, maintenance

The year, beat by beat

01

Week 1–4

Early weight-loss % · first ~6 months · trial averages

  • Semaglutide · STEP-1 trial~15% by week 68 (~16 months)
  • Tirzepatide · SURMOUNT-1 trial~20% by week 72 (~17 months)

Unsupervised

Dose without a system

GI side effects hit hard during escalation. Without pacing guidance, patients quit early or change doses alone.

Physician-led

Physician-supervised titration

Planned dose steps, symptom guidance, and a clinician to call when side effects spike.

  • Indian RWE — GI-driven discontinuation
02

Ongoing

Kilograms lost · 100 kg start · trial end-points

Starting weight 100 kg — mean loss at peak follow-up in curated anchors

Unsupervised

Appetite drops — protein often with it

Unmanaged intake risks lean-mass loss. Appetite suppression is not “all fat.”

Physician-led

Nutrition to protect lean mass

Protein targets and resistance-training guidance built into the plan.

  • Muscle / lean-mass systematic review
03

Baseline → follow-up

Peak average weight loss by programme

  • STEP-1 · week 68Curated
  • SURMOUNT-1 · week 72Curated

Unsupervised

No one watching the labs

No scheduled bloodwork or dose adjustment tied to tolerance and comorbidity progress.

Physician-led

Monitoring is part of the plan

Check-ins and labs so dose and metabolic progress are tracked — not assumed.

  • STEP-1 trial
  • SURMOUNT-1 trial
04

Month 3–12

Real-world discontinuation

By week 12 (~3 months)

2/10

By week 26 (~6 months)

2/10

By week 52 (~12 months)

4/10

Unsupervised

Where most people quit

Stop rates climb through the year. Motivation and side effects collide — and unsupervised patients leave.

Physician-led

Coaching where adherence breaks

Behavior coaching and peer support aimed at the highest-leverage window on the stop curve.

  • Illustrative stop-rate composite (replace before diligence)
  • Indian RWE — GI-driven discontinuation
05

If treatment pauses

Weight regained after stopping · % of prior loss

Unsupervised

No plan for stopping

A pause becomes a cliff — published patterns show weight returning hard after cessation.

Physician-led

A maintenance track, not a cliff

A defined maintenance path when life interrupts treatment — follow-through, not denial.

  • Systematic review — post-cessation regain

~12 months

Where the paths land

Unsupervised

Where unsupervised paths often land

About 35% stop by a year (~1 in 3; ~2 in 10 by ~6 months). After stopping: ~60% of lost weight back in a year; ~half by week 23 (~5 months) (~5 mo).

By week 12 (~3 months)

2/10

By week 26 (~6 months)

2/10

By week 52 (~12 months)

4/10

Regain after stopping

On treatment

Where staying on treatment lands

Trial averages reach ~20% while people remain on treatment. No invented “system vs unsupervised” stop-rate — only named failure points against published on-treatment averages.

Trial averages while staying on treatment

  • Semaglutide · STEP-1 trial~15% by week 68 (~16 months)
  • Tirzepatide · SURMOUNT-1 trial~20% by week 72 (~17 months)

No fabricated comparative outcome. Stop-rate bands mix an illustrative RWE composite with named Indian RWE (PMID-41798487). Regain follows the PMID-41938838 systematic review. The pitch is the mechanism: titration, monitoring, adherence, and maintenance against those failure points.

  • Illustrative stop-rate composite (replace before diligence)
  • Indian RWE — GI-driven discontinuation
  • Systematic review — post-cessation regain
  • STEP-1 trial
  • SURMOUNT-1 trial

Clinical intake

Eligibility & clinical intake (India)

India-adjusted BMI (WHO Asia-Pacific / South Asian risk) — not US FDA label cutoffs. Metabolic risk rises at lower BMI in South Asians.

BMI criteria

  • BMI ≥27 — eligible regardless of comorbidity
  • BMI ≥25 — eligible with at least one weight-related comorbidity
    • Type 2 diabetes or prediabetes
    • Hypertension
    • Dyslipidemia
    • Obstructive sleep apnea
    • PCOS
    • Fatty liver disease

Waist as supplementary marker: >90 cm men, >80 cm women (South Asian phenotype).

Who assesses

Assessed by an obesity-trained physician, diabetologist, or endocrinologist — not a wellness form.

Contraindications

  • Personal or family history of MTC or MEN2
  • Pregnancy or breastfeeding
  • History of acute or chronic pancreatitis

Baseline bloodwork & intake

HbA1c and/or fasting plasma glucose

Diabetes / prediabetes status

Full lipid profile

Total cholesterol, LDL, HDL, triglycerides

Liver function (ALT, AST)

Baseline and contraindication screen

Renal function (creatinine, eGFR)

Dosing caution in renal impairment

Thyroid function (TSH)

Plus MTC / MEN2 history screen

Pregnancy test

Women of childbearing potential

Consider vitamin B12 and vitamin D

When intake falls under appetite suppression

Waist circumference

Exam measure at intake

Framed from India-adjusted BMI practice (WHO Asia-Pacific / ESI obesity guidance orientation) — not US FDA cutoffs.

The year, restated

The medicine is the same. The difference is whether titration, labs, nutrition, adherence, and a stop plan are built into the year — or left to chance. Unsupervised paths collide with published stop and regain curves; physician-led paths are built for those exact failure points.

That is the whole pitch. The evidence desk has the papers behind each beat.